Three things that could impact rates this week

___

Published Date 4/14/2025

Today's Mortgage Rate Summary

How Rates Move:

Conventional and Government (FHA and VA) lenders set their rates based on the pricing of Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) which are traded in real time, all day in the bond market. This means rates or loan fees (mortgage pricing) moves throughout the day, being affected by a variety of economic or political events. When MBS pricing goes up, mortgage rates or pricing generally goes down. When they fall, mortgage pricing goes up.

Rates Currently Trending: Lower

Mortgage rates are moving lower today. The MBS market worsened by -150 bps last week. This was enough to increase mortgage rates or fees. The market experienced very high volatility last week.

This week's Rate Forecast: Neutral

Three Things: These are the three areas that have the greatest ability to impact rates this week. 1)Tariffs 2) The Fed and 3) Central Banks.

1) Tariffs: The bond market will continue to be very sensitive to primarily the China/US tariff/Trade War discussions.

2) The Fed: We will hear from Fed Chair Powell and many others this week.

04/14 Barkin, Bostic, Waller, Harker

04/16 Powell

04/17 Barr

3) Central Banks: We will get interest rate and policy decisions out of the Bank of Canada and The European Central Bank this week.

Treasury Auction: We have an important 20Y Treasury bond auction on Wednesday.

This week's Potential Rate Volatility: High

This morning markets are rebounding from last week. Volatility has started high and will remain high.

Bottom Line:

If you are looking for the risks and benefits of locking your interest rate in today or floating your loan rate, contact your mortgage professional to discuss it with them.

• < Prev
• Next >

All information furnished has been forwarded to you and is provided by thetbwsgroup only for informational purposes. Forecasting shall be considered as events which may be expected but not guaranteed. Neither the forwarding party and/or company nor thetbwsgroup assume any responsibility to any person who relies on information or forecasting contained in this report and disclaims all liability in respect to decisions or actions, or lack thereof based on any or all of the contents of this report.

American Home Lending USA, LLC - NMLS ID: 71983. To verify licensing, visit NMLS Consumer Access (www.nmlsconsumeraccess.org). Equal Housing Lender.

Jeff Beck

President

NMLS: 19488

American Home Lending USA, LLC

240 S Buchanan St, Edwardsville IL 62025

Company NMLS: 71983

Office: 618-310-0091

Cell: 618-806-2281

Email: jbeck@ahlusa1.com

Web: https://www.americanhomelendingusa.com/