Published Date 4/22/2024
The 10 year note at 8:30 am ET improved from overnight levels, at 8:30 am 4.64% +2 bps from Friday but down from 4.67% at 6 am.
The run to safety over the Israel/Iran conflict is slowing. Both countries breathing a little bit better and so too global markets. Last week the 10 year note, driver for rates, traded in a very narrow range from a high close at 4.65% to a low close at 4.59%.
Two keys for rates now, there is still tensions in the mid-east although not likely any peace will emerge, inflation increased earlier this month when March CPI and PPI were released, sending the 10 year note yield from 4.35% to 4.55% in just two days. Inflation still not understandable within the Fed although the two reports rattled Powell and most other Fed officials, now saying any rate cuts may have to wait until very late this year.
At 9:30 am the DJIA opened +167 after falling 211 last Friday, NASDAQ +102 after declining 320, S&P +24 from -43 last Friday. The 10 at 9:30 am 4.64% +2 bps. FNMA 6.0 30 year coupon at 9:30 -4 bps from Friday’s close and -1 bp from 9:30 am Friday.
Looking for a quiet session Monday, no data points. The keys this week, Treasury auctions over the next three days and PCE inflation on Friday. Short term technical indicators remain bearish. No Fed officials this week ahead of next week’s FOMC meeting.
This Week’s Economic Calendar:
Tuesday,
9:45 am April Flash PMI indexes (manufacturing 51.9, services 51.9)
10 am March new home sales (expected 670K from 662K in February)
1 PM $69B 2 year note auction
Wednesday,
7 am weekly MBA mortgage applications
8:30 am March durable goods orders (+2.3% from 1.3%, ex transportation orders +0.3% from +0.5%), core capital goods (+0.2% from +0.7%)
1 pm $70B 5 year note auction
Thursday,
8:30 am weekly jobless claims (215K from 212K last week)
Q1 advance GDP (+2.3% from +3.4% in Q4, personal consumption rate year/year +2.8% from +3.3%)
March advance US trade deficit (-$91.0B)
10 am March pending home sales (+1.0% from 1.6% in February)
1 pm $44B 7 year note auction
Friday
8:30 am March personal income (+0.5% from +0.3%, personal spending +0.6% from +0.8%)
March PCE inflation (month/month +0.3% unch from February, year/year +2.6% from 2.5%; core month/month +0.3% unch from February, year/year 2.7% from 2.8%)
10 am April University of Michigan consumer sentiment index (unch from mid-month 77.9)
Source: TBWS
All information furnished has been forwarded to you and is provided by thetbwsgroup only for informational purposes. Forecasting shall be considered as events which may be expected but not guaranteed. Neither the forwarding party and/or company nor thetbwsgroup assume any responsibility to any person who relies on information or forecasting contained in this report and disclaims all liability in respect to decisions or actions, or lack thereof based on any or all of the contents of this report.
THIS IS AN ADVERTISEMENT. This is not a commitment to lend. Offer of credit subject to credit approval. A and N Mortgage Services, Inc. 1945 N. Elston Ave. Chicago, IL 60642 p: 773.305.LOAN (5626) ANmtg.com NMLS No. 19291 For licensing information, go to: https://www.anmtg.com/licensing/ (Nationwide Mortgage Licensing System www.nmlsconsumeraccess.org)
NMLS: 19291
A and N Mortgage Services
1945 N. Elston, Chicago IL 60642
Company NMLS: 19291
Office: 773-305-5626
Cell: 312-961-4380
Email: neenav@anmtg.com
NMLS: 19291
Cell: 312-961-4380
10/31/2024
“FOR RENT”... reads a sign in the window of a house. But there is much more...... view more
10/30/2024
Seems like a no-brainer to get a home ready to list when the weather is fine, th... view more
10/29/2024
Want to renovate your kitchen? Be prepared for some eye-popping numbers. Accordi... view more
10/28/2024
These are the three areas that have the greatest ability to impact rates this we... view more
10/24/2024
When we speak of home, we speak of shelter. And there is no single element that ... view more
10/23/2024
Choosing the perfect wood or wood-look flooring for your home doesn't have to fe... view more
10/22/2024
If you’re looking for a home with a voluminous grand foyer as you enter, your ch... view more
10/21/2024
These are the three areas that have the greatest potential to impact rates this ... view more
10/17/2024
No. You’re not in Downton Abbey. But when you’re looking for homes...... view more
10/16/2024
With fall comes coziness and there’s nothing quite like the start of the season ... view more